Steve Palmer's Open Championship final round preview, best bets, free golf tips |  Sports News

Steve Palmer’s Open Championship final round preview, best bets, free golf tips | Sports News

where to watch

Sky Sports Main Event and Golf, 8:00 a.m. Sunday

Best bets

Rory McIlroy will win by three strokes or more
2pts 9-4 Betfair, BoyleSports, Power

Cameron Smith bets without Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland
2pts 10-10 BoyleSports

Tyrrell Hatton will win 1:25 p.m. by two bullets (4-7) and Shane Lowry will win 1:35 p.m. by two bullets (4-6)
2 double points betting fair

Min Woo Lee will win the twoball at 11:55
2pts 6-5 bet fred

Jordan Spieth leads the Americans
1pt 14-1 Betfair, Power

History so far

Rory McIlroy has every chance of winning the 150th Open Championship at St Andrews, starting tied for the lead at 16 under par, seeking his first major title since the 2014 US PGA.

McIlroy, easy to back at just 11-1 win and 10-1 each way on the eve of the Open, carded rounds of 66, 68 and 66 to create a golden chance of a second Open win. He will hit the first hole of the famous Old Course at 2.50pm today in a bid to join the list of legends on the St Andrews honor roll.

The four-time major champion will have the same playing partner he had for the third round – Viktor Hovland equaled McIlroy’s 54-hole tally and fellow Ryder Cup players took over the event.

There’s a four-shot gap between McIlroy and Hovland and the rest of the field, with the Camerons – Smith and Young – tied for third place. Hovland has a 7-4 chance, while Smith is third in betting at 12-1. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for fifth.

Ranking
-16 Viktor Hovland, Rory McIlroy
-12 Cameron Young, Cameron Smith
-11 Si Woo Kim, Scottie Scheffler
-10 Dustin Johnson
-9 Tommy Fleetwood, Matt Fitzpatrick, Adam Scott

Best prices
10-11 R McIlroy, 7-4 V Hovland, 12 C Smith, 22 S Scheffler, 25 C Young, 55 Si Woo Kim, D Johnson, 110 M Fitzpatrick, 125 T Fleetwood, 200 bar

Preview of the final round

Rory McIlroy has shown patience and poise over the final two days of The Open Championship – and continuing that calm, measured approach should be enough to delight the Old Course hordes on Sunday night.

St Andrews regulars have grown accustomed to seeing legends of the game lift the Claret Jug at this iconic venue. Jack Nicklaus, Seve Ballesteros, Nick Faldo and Tiger Woods have won six of the last nine St Andrews Opens between them. Now, it seems, it’s time for McIlroy to use the unique ground at the Old Course to clinch a fifth major title and take his career to a new level, going level with Ballesteros for major wins and one behind Faldo. .

McIlroy was tied on four holes of the second round this week, but there was no panic. He was level with four holes in round three, having opened again with a quartet of pars, but the Northern Irishman was as cool as a cucumber. Birdies followed in quick succession as a man who has played links golf his whole life navigated one of his favorite courses.

McIlroy has obviously had plenty of chances to win Majors in the eight years since he was last – and there’s no denying he’s desperate to convert that opportunity – but none of the previous positions have been on a run. that he plays as well as St Andrews. The 33-year-old knows he can overwhelm those bonds with his power, touch and knowledge of the course, and he’ll expect to progress to 20-under par and beyond in round four.

The 2022 Open will be on McIlroy’s radar for ages as a prime target. The 2021 US PGA Championship at Kiawah Island was another event that looked promising, given McIlroy’s 2012 success there, but that course had changed a lot in the nine years between visits. St Andrews has remained the same – and it seems strong winds are the only way to stop McIlroy from tearing this ancient place apart.

McIlroy’s second round of 80 at the 2010 Open at St Andrews came in high winds – it was borderline unplayable – but there’s nothing in Sunday’s forecast for him to worry about . A pleasant ending, with gentle breezes, is expected.

Tiger Woods finished at 19 under par in 2000 for St Andrews’ greatest effort in history, while Henrik Stenson hit 20 under at Royal Troon in 2016 to record the lowest 72-hole tally in the Open. McIlroy, if he stays in the zone from the previous three days, should have both goals in his compass.

McIlroy lifted the Jug at Hoylake in 2014 and he is the only Open champion in the top ten of the standings. The world number two is full of confidence in all areas of his game and it would take a significant drop in form to throw a bone at those in third place or worse. McIlroy picked up easy birdies at both par fives and driving pars, so if that continues, those at 12-under or worse will need a ridiculously low round to enter the equation.

Cameron Smith’s betting ability means he’s the leading contender for the round in the ’60s, which puts pressure on McIlroy and Viktor Hovland. However, any loose shots early on from Smith, and this event can quickly turn into a duel between the pair at the top.
Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson fought an exciting battle at a low-scoring Open at Troon in 2016. Maybe something similar will play out at the Home of Golf, but it all depends on whether Hovland is up to the task. task.

It’s obviously a class act, but Hovland has been in poor form for four months, and he looks as surprised as anyone to be tied for the lead with 18 holes to play. He had never seen St Andrews before this week, admittedly soaking up the venue and atmosphere, harboring low expectations for performance.

As is often the case with the particular human brain, low expectations can often result in high performance due to the lack of pressure it creates, but the dynamics have surely changed through 54 holes. Hovland knows he has the chance to become Norway’s first major champion – on the world’s most famous course – and the pressure cooker has been pushed to the limit.

Hovland says he’ll “have fun” in the final round, but those words aren’t convincing. No matter how good and young you are, big chances of winning an Open at St Andrews almost never come, and Hovland will do well to keep their cool.

Sure, McIlroy has the same mental challenge, but he’s got four major wins to build on and a game with no weaknesses in the build-up. Hovland have never even finished in the top ten at a Major and their game was in tatters – by their high standards – from The Players Championship until this week.

A lot has happened in Hovland’s path this week – his remarkable eagle hole on the 15th par four in the second round the most obvious example – and he feels he needs Lady Luck alongside him to defeat McIlroy in the fourth round. The vast majority of onlookers will be on McIlroy’s side, adding another layer of difficulty to the mission facing Hovland.

McIlroy was Racing Post Sport’s top pre-tournament recommendation at 10-1. How punters with a healthy bet on McIlroy approach the final round has a lot to do with personal finances. It looks by far the most likely winner – and 10-11 is a strangely generous Sunday offer offered by some companies – but anyone who isn’t comfortable letting their bet go all the way to the line may have some cover. Hovland, then Smith appear as the biggest dangers, so some 7-4 and 12-1 can calm the waters.

More offensive bettors might want to consider the 9-4 on McIlroy’s win by three or more shots. When the little master is in the lead with his game in such good nick, he is able to gallop to the line, highlighted by eight-stroke wins in his first two major wins.

Smith looks fairly priced at 21-10 in the market without McIlroy and Hovland. Smith didn’t react well to the pressure of the lead race on Saturday, but he’ll like his chance for third place.

The two-ball bettors in the final round are pointed to Tyrrell Hatton and Shane Lowry – two men who have proven themselves at St Andrews over the years – against American raiders Trey Mullinax and Brian Harman. The double looks like a bargain, paying almost 13-8.

Rising star Min Woo Lee, last year’s Scottish Open champion, can further advertise his ties comfort by beating Sahith Theegala in the 11:55 match, while Jordan Spieth deserves to be shackled on the best American market.

Cameron Young, Scottie Scheffler and Dustin Johnson stalled on Saturday – their wavering open offers – while Spieth finally got going after a slow start. Spieth was restless and sloppy through the first two days but seems to have a weekend load in him on a course that is shaping up well for him. The 2017 Open champion could easily become the best Yank with a low final round.


Join Steve Palmer and Bruce Millington on the Racing Post YouTube channel at 2:30 p.m. today for an Open Championship final round.



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FIRST PUBLISHED AT 9:46 AM, JULY 17, 2022


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