Predictions, Choices, College Football Odds: Miami on Texas A&M Among Value Plays in Week Three

Week 3 takes us to the last mega slate of no-conference play, and there are a few high-value matches between the Power Five teams taking center stage. With each team now entering multiple matches per season, trends are starting to come into focus. Ranked matches this week are great, but for our purposes, No. 13 Miami versus No. 24 Texas A&M and No. 12 BYU versus No. 25 Oregon provide an opportunity to cash in on the underdogs down the road.

Finding value takes many forms for acute bettors. Finding an underdog who has the potential to win and an exaggerated victory is a gold standard. However, deciding which teams can get a late or favorite cover can extend a lead off the streak can also generate gains. If the time is right, we may dive into over/under play with the upside.

Last week, we had to commit. The Appalachian State as a 19 point dog was a throw, but a money line bet would have saved you +700 by game time. Fortunately, Kentucky State delivered +185 on the money streak over Florida, while Iowa State remained one of the easiest plays in football. On the flip side, Baylor lost twice in overtime to spoil play on the money streak and the Texas v Alabama score went, shockingly. road under.

Week 3 provides plenty of opportunities for value play. Here are five games where real betting value can be found.

Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Lines may move between deployment and launch.

No. 12 BYU opposite No. 25 Oregon

When: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET | where: Autzen Stadium – Eugene, Oregon

Featured game | Oregon Ducks vs. BYU Cougars

BYU achieved one of the best wins of the season by defeating Baylor in double overtime. However, cougars are an underdog for Oregon as they travel to Eugene. Don’t look now, but the ducks have won 1-4 and beaten 201-90 in their last five FBS games. The only FBS data we have this season for Dan Lanning’s team is a 49-3 loss to Georgia first. People are done with all of this with 87% of public bets taking cougars. Take the extra money. Pick: BYU ML (+150)

When: Saturday, 7 p.m. ET | where: Carter-Finley Stadium – Raleigh, North Carolina

Featured game | North Carolina Wolfpack vs Texas Tech Red Riders

With Donovan Smith at the quarterback, Texas Tech has shown that it can be a real mess team. The Red Raiders held Houston only 354 yards and 3.0 yards per carry in an overtime 33-30 win, while Smith scored 378 total yards with three touchdowns. North Carolina State has a great defense, but the attack looked shaky at best in the opening game against East Carolina. If QB Devin Leary can’t play the champ, Texas Tech’s defense is more than physical enough to keep things close. Although 75% of public bets are on Red Raiders, the streak has only grown from +8. Let the bookmakers give you that extra protection – now it’s a two-degree streak – and take the points. Pick: Texas Tech +10 (-110)

When: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET | where: Kennick Stadium – Iowa City, Iowa

Featured game | Iowa Hawkeyes vs Nevada Wolfpack

Iowa is preferred by 23 points. In other words, if the Hawkeyes can bring all the points they scored this season (14) into this game and secure a close, they will. resident Must score twice (with at least one TD) to cover the last line. Nevada is not good but averages 34 points per game. If the Wolf Pack could only muster the drop, Iowa would have to clear 30 points to cover it, a mark the program hasn’t matched in its last nine games. Oh, by the way, quarterback Spencer Petras is tied with just one touch and nine interceptions at that stretch. Iowa fades away until Iowa fades. Pick: Nevada +23 (-110)

When: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET | where: Maryland Stadium – College Park, Maryland

Featured game | Maryland Terrapins vs. SMU Mustangs

If you like dots and unbridled scrolling games, then this match might be for you. The Terrapins scored 87 points in their first two games thanks to another strong start from quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa. Not to be outdone, the Mustang shot 93 points against UNT and Lamar, with seven touchdowns coming from the talented arm of Tanner Mordecai. Receiver play will be off the charts with maybe half a dozen future NFL pass hunters on the field. The total is up by three points since the opening, but is likely to continue rising. Each team can reach their forties. Pick up: more than 73.5 (-110)

When: Saturday, 9 p.m. ET | where: Kyle Field – College Station, Texas

Featured game | Texas A&M Aegis vs. Miami Hurricanes (Florida)

Texas A&M was upset 17-14 by Appalachian State thanks to one of the most embarrassing offensive performances in recent memory for a top-10 team. Now, odds makers still have Aggies as 5.5 point favorites with a 2 to 1 probability of the money line. The Hurricanes aren’t a perfect team, but quarterback Tyler Van Dyck could cause problems in the high school, and would prevent the front seven at Miami Texas A&M from getting on the right track offensively. Texas A&M deserves no benefit in the doubt until it has achieved anything. Pick up: Miami ML (+180)

What choices can you make with confidence, and which ones on the Top 25 Favorites list drop so hard? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread this weekall from a proven computer model that has generated $3,500 in profits over the past five seasons.


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