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Horse racing advice: The value of Paul Jacobs plays all tracks on Sunday

*All prices are up to date with our stylish widgets, while copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

It’s pretty hard to find four games of value this weekend with, apart from Ireland, mostly small fields ready to go in the UK. However, this extended two-mile handicap pursuit has a nice running shape to encourage any investment.

Mick Pastor is the obvious place to start having campaigned in over his head for the past 12 months after winning a novice handicap pursuit last fall at Exeter by a mark of 147. But since then when of his last three starts (of 147, 145 and 143) he was beaten by a cumulative total of 109 lengths.

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Obviously if he gets back to his best he’s treated pretty well and it’s a bit easier but his attentions to the lead may well be hampered by the free Caddyhill who arrives here after second wind surgery and with the visor on for the first time. So, in anticipation of an end-to-end gallop, this well is set up well for the tip.

Robert Walford’s team are working great at the moment and after an easy 104 win at Ludlow (jumped better on this flatter track) Elios D’Or was raised to 110 and was just hit in the dying embers at neck height by Pencreek at Worcester. This fast track will suit his high cruising speed and I can see Sam Twiston-Davies getting his load to blast his fences behind the probably scorching pace before letting it go down the home stretch at the final fence. A mark of 114 clearly necessitates a likely career high, but he enters this contest in very good shape.

There is no doubt that the majority of pundits and punters will like the Order of Australia to replicate their victory from 12 months ago and Aidan O’Brien’s charge is the most obvious winner, down from class. The likely favorite took the same route as last year, racing first in the Queen Anne Stakes as a nice setup for it. Based on that effort behind Baaed, you could argue that he’s better than ever and the title holder should be closer than equal money than 2/1.

However, I will try my luck on the trained runner from Ger Lyon Dr. Zempf now that his clever trainer has finally found his optimal configuration. Last year as a juvenile he looked set to emerge as a more specialist sucker and indeed Ger thought he would be his 2,000 guineas horse but an opening win in the Irish trial of 2,000 guineas was professional to say the least and was then followed by a very disappointing fifth in the Tetrarch Stakes when he fell very obediently.

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The problem with this son of Dark Angel is that he tends to run very loose at the start of his runs, which was replicated last time when he won the Ballychorus Stakes at Leopardstown, ending up missing an easy winner. But the significance of this race was the seven furlong descent.

I imagine there is still more improvement in him and if he were mine I would even be happy to run him six furlongs such is his high cruising speed and I was surprised that he did not receive a Group One entry at Royal Ascot or the July Cup. This 1,200m could well be where his future lies.

By the very nature of it being a class six handicap at the Cleveland track, you’d think it would take very few wins, but there are several riders here who are very capable of doing their score even if entering the winner’s circle is a danger for them. species.

Clotherholme is the exception to that rule having won twice in his last three starts with 55 and 57 ratings and is still potentially handicapped here. However, you could easily argue that the heaviest weight showed his best form by far over a mile and more over seven furlongs.

A hold-up horse like the selection, he is respected just like the Premiership, while Mac Alley surely needs more ground before he can regain winning form even though he is being treated very well at the moment.

bear patiently was ridden far too close to the pace when he passed out over the steep 10 furlongs at Pontefract on a mark of 58 after a 132-day break, but ridden with more restraint was a real eye-catcher when an eight never closer to 14 at Stoney Lane in Beverley, but only beat a shadow over two lengths. Amazingly, the evaluator dropped him 2 pounds for this run and if Cam Hardie can loosen him up in the back, I can see him passing the majority of his rivals on the long straight here.

Sunday racing tips

13:30 Stratford – Elios D’Or
14:10 Curragh – Dr Zempf
16:25 Redcar – Bear with

*All prices are up to date with our stylish widgets, while copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

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